The following is a post I made on Facebook earlier tonight.
I’m setting a year-long challenge for myself:
Assuming the world doesn’t blow up in December (either via solar flare, or Iran and USA entering nuclear war), I’m hoping that I’ll be in a position to build simple apps for Windows 8 by this time next year.
The Internet is maturing, and I believe that the web, as we know it today, will not remain “open” for much longer.
I believe that websites will be replaced by apps. We’re already seeing it with Apple, and apps through the iTunes Store. Google is doing it with Android Marketplace. Even Ubuntu has their Software Centre.
The next step, I think, is Windows 8 and the Windows Marketplace: a unified storefront for your Windows tablet, Windows phone, Windows PC, and Xbox.
A theoretical timeline:
1990′s – Dawn of mainstream internet, viva la WWW.
2000′s – Growth & maturity of online businesses.
2010′s – Growth & maturity of app marketplaces.
2020′s – Internet regulated; websites fade, apps dominate.
Am I reaching a bit? Probably. But it’s fun to think about, and I’m confident that this is where the future is going.
Let’s see how it goes.
(Thanks for reading, btw.)
I leave you with this thoughtful keynote from Dion Almaer, VP Mobile Achitecture at Walmart: